Friday, June 28, 2013

Where is market headed to ?

The last 2 working days in markets showed reversed trend than everybody were predicting to be, after watching Headlines in Newspapers, even on day of expiry. This happens not quite often and everyone is taken a-back by market moves. Markets always out-smart the market participants.

The markets have shown bullishness on Thursday - the day of expiry of June'13. Now July '13 expiry has opened auguring well for month as well, by Gap-Up-Open. When such gap remains on Daily chart, it shows strength of the move, especially when it's a Bull-Day as well. By Bull-Day, i mean Close is above High and not the Close is above Previous Close.

Based on studies of Gaps, the Nifty is poised to cross 6025 mark, without filling the gap, which acts as Stop-Loss for Nifty at 5700 appx. SBI normally leads Bank Nifty, which ultimately leads Nifty, which has not been this time. So the rally is by other pivotals like Reliance and Infosys, which have been dormant so far. With aide of SBI again above 1985, markets may be expected to achieve above target soon.

But the ride may not be that smooth, if SBI does not fare as expected. In such case, markets may plunge a bit, not causing damage to averages and start up-move by next week-end. In any case, the worst is over as of now and markets may be looked upon with positive mood upside. We shall review the markets again next week and shall come up with new observations.

   

Friday, June 07, 2013

NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR 10TH JUNE 2013

TODAY   OPEN        HIGH LOW CLOSE    
07-06-13 5900.05 5972.70 5871.30 5883.00  
     
DATE
HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR
07-06-13   HA 6000 5899 5937 X S
   
JUN'13 M 6049 5753 5874 BD BPL
07-06-13 W 6079 5896 5956 X SS
07-06-13 D 5986 5900 5928 X SS
   








               
Nifty continues to drag down with occasional rises during the day, but not at EOD.
Considering above levels, until it gives Close above 5928/5956, up-trend may not resume.

Support seems near 5875 level, where it has made Lows in last 3 days. 
Breaching it, NS may head towards 5750. 

BANK NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR 10TH JUNE 2013

DATE HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE
07-06-13 HA 12562 12274 12383 BD BPL 12332
JUN'13 M 12703 11730 12170 BD BPL
07-06-13 W 12846 12292 12495 X SS 12453
07-06-13 D 12520 12274 12359 X SS








Bank Nifty has good base around 12200, as of now. But Trend has been down so far.
To resume up-trend, it needs to Close above 12359, which is 5-days' Close EMA.
For stronger up-move, it needs to cross 12495.

However, one may consider Support of 12170, which is 5 Months's Close EMA.
Also, PAUSE of down-trend may be considered if manages to close above 
12274/12292, which are 5-daily/weekly Low-EMA. 

On down side, if breaches 12170, may head for more downfall till 11750.