Friday, June 28, 2013

Where is market headed to ?

The last 2 working days in markets showed reversed trend than everybody were predicting to be, after watching Headlines in Newspapers, even on day of expiry. This happens not quite often and everyone is taken a-back by market moves. Markets always out-smart the market participants.

The markets have shown bullishness on Thursday - the day of expiry of June'13. Now July '13 expiry has opened auguring well for month as well, by Gap-Up-Open. When such gap remains on Daily chart, it shows strength of the move, especially when it's a Bull-Day as well. By Bull-Day, i mean Close is above High and not the Close is above Previous Close.

Based on studies of Gaps, the Nifty is poised to cross 6025 mark, without filling the gap, which acts as Stop-Loss for Nifty at 5700 appx. SBI normally leads Bank Nifty, which ultimately leads Nifty, which has not been this time. So the rally is by other pivotals like Reliance and Infosys, which have been dormant so far. With aide of SBI again above 1985, markets may be expected to achieve above target soon.

But the ride may not be that smooth, if SBI does not fare as expected. In such case, markets may plunge a bit, not causing damage to averages and start up-move by next week-end. In any case, the worst is over as of now and markets may be looked upon with positive mood upside. We shall review the markets again next week and shall come up with new observations.

   

Friday, June 07, 2013

NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR 10TH JUNE 2013

TODAY   OPEN        HIGH LOW CLOSE    
07-06-13 5900.05 5972.70 5871.30 5883.00  
     
DATE
HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR
07-06-13   HA 6000 5899 5937 X S
   
JUN'13 M 6049 5753 5874 BD BPL
07-06-13 W 6079 5896 5956 X SS
07-06-13 D 5986 5900 5928 X SS
   








               
Nifty continues to drag down with occasional rises during the day, but not at EOD.
Considering above levels, until it gives Close above 5928/5956, up-trend may not resume.

Support seems near 5875 level, where it has made Lows in last 3 days. 
Breaching it, NS may head towards 5750. 

BANK NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR 10TH JUNE 2013

DATE HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE
07-06-13 HA 12562 12274 12383 BD BPL 12332
JUN'13 M 12703 11730 12170 BD BPL
07-06-13 W 12846 12292 12495 X SS 12453
07-06-13 D 12520 12274 12359 X SS








Bank Nifty has good base around 12200, as of now. But Trend has been down so far.
To resume up-trend, it needs to Close above 12359, which is 5-days' Close EMA.
For stronger up-move, it needs to cross 12495.

However, one may consider Support of 12170, which is 5 Months's Close EMA.
Also, PAUSE of down-trend may be considered if manages to close above 
12274/12292, which are 5-daily/weekly Low-EMA. 

On down side, if breaches 12170, may head for more downfall till 11750.

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

My View on Nifty Future for Expiry Day - 30th May 2013

TODAY        
29-05-13 6113.40 6113.40 6055.55 6090.25 12157 6102 6044
  xOpen
DATE HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE UP DN
29-05-13 HA 6123 6027 6078 BPS SR 6077    
         
MAY'13 M 6078 5703 5904 BB X   UP 5929
31-05-13 W 6118 5911 6032 BD BPL   6239 5972
29-05-13 D 6111 6029 6080 BD BPL   6130 5972
      21SA 34SA
29-05-13 16:00 H 6091 6069 6079 BD BPL 6085 6067 6036
                   

L/S T/F CLOSE 5DCEMA 5WLEMA 5WHEMA
LONG TRUE 6090 6080 5703 6118
LG SQ UP FALSE 6090 6080 5703 6118
   
SHORT FALSE 6090 6080 5703 6118
SH SQ UP FALSE 6090 6080 5703 6118
   
NO LONG FALSE 6090 6029 5911 6118
NO SHORT FALSE 6090 6111 5911 6118
Hint is Bullish View with Target of 6118 with SL of 6080 for intra-day.
6080 is also 5 days' Close EMA.
Better to keep SL of 6032 - 5 weeks' close EMA.  
So long as Close is above Monthly High EMA of 6078 at Close Level, there seems to be no signal of Profit-booking in Longs. 

As Projected High-Low for tomorrow is 6102-6044 as per Thomas Demark Theory, it would be ideal to BUY at Declines, with SL of 6032.


 

Monday, May 20, 2013

Nifty Spot Levels and signals for Trading on 21st May 2013

TODAY   OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE     X PRO-H PRO-L
20-05-13 6198.00 6229.45 6146.05 6156.90   12339 6193 6110
      xOpen    
DATE TIME NO HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE UP DN
20-05-13   HA 6180 6078 6138 BPS SR 6162    
         
MAY'13 M 6068 5695 5937 BB X   UP 5910
24-05-13 W 6103 5946 6053 BB X   6230 5970
20-05-13 D 6178 6102 6138 BD BPL   UP 6128
      21SA 34SA
20-05-13 16:00 H 6196 6170 6179 X SS 6156.9 6178 6135
                     

DATE L/S T/F CLOSE 5DCEMA 5WLEMA 5WHEMA
20-05-13 LONG TRUE 6157 6138 5946 6103
  SQ UP FALSE 6157 6138 5946 6103
MAY'13    
24-05-13 SHORT FALSE 6157 6138 5946 6103
20-05-13 SQ UP TRUE 6157 6138 5946 6103
     
20-05-13 16:00 NO LONG FALSE 6157 6102 5946 6103
  NO SHORT FALSE 6157 6178 5946 6103

Friday, May 17, 2013

Ready Signals Excel File with Hema/Lema with HA-candles

TODAY                  
17-05-13 6185.10 6209.20 6152.55 6196.10     12384 6231 6174
              xOpen    
DATE HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE UP DN
17-05-13 HA 6155 6047 6115 B X 6152    
                   
MAY'13 M 6068 5703 5940 BB X   UP 5929
17-05-13 W 6051 5851 6013 BB X   UP 5980
17-05-13 D 6163 6089 6139 BB X   UP 6099
                21SA 34SA
17-05-13 16:00 H 6191 6163 6179 BB X 6194 6162 6109
                   


DATE L/S T/F CLOSE 5DCEMA 5WLEMA 5WHEMA
17-05-13 LONG TRUE 6196 6139 5703 6051
  LG SQ UP FALSE 6196 6139 5703 6051
MAY'13            
17-05-13 SHORT FALSE 6196 6139 5703 6051
17-05-13 SH SQ UP TRUE 6196 6139 5703 6051
             
17-05-13 16:00 NO LONG FALSE 6196 6089 5851 6051
  NO SHORT TRUE 6196 6163 5851 6051

New Technalysis Tool with Ready Signals

YDAY OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE     X PRO-H PRO-L
16-05-13 6159.95 6198.00 6143.55 6178.05     12359 6206 6150
TODAY                  
17-05-13 6185.10 6209.20 6152.55 6196.10     12384 6231 6174
              xOpen    
DATE HDWM 5HEMA 5LEMA 5CEMA B/BD S/SR CLOSE UP DN
17-05-13 HA 6155 6047 6115 B X 6152    
                   
MAY'13 M 6068 5703 5940 BB X   UP 5929
17-05-13 W 6051 5851 6013 BB X   UP 5980
17-05-13 D 6163 6089 6139 BB X   UP 6099
                21SA 34SA
17-05-13 16:00 H 6191 6163 6179 BB X 6194 6162 6109
                   


TODAY            
17-05-13            
             
DATE L/S T/F CLOSE 5DCEMA 5WLEMA 5WHEMA
17-05-13 LONG TRUE 6196 6139 5703 6051
  LG SQ UP FALSE 6196 6139 5703 6051
MAY'13            
17-05-13 SHORT FALSE 6196 6139 5703 6051
17-05-13 SH SQ UP TRUE 6196 6139 5703 6051
             
17-05-13 16:00 NO LONG FALSE 6196 6089 5851 6051
  NO SHORT TRUE 6196 6163 5851 6051